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117 results

The War in Iran: The Illusion of Decisive Force

The War in Iran: The Illusion of Decisive Force

One month in, the limits of conventional military power are being laid bare. As a “dual chokehold” on global energy flows emerges, the old security umbrella of the Gulf states is being dismantled. It is forcing a permanent re-pricing of both regional and global risk.

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

How Iran Is Turning the Global Economy Into a Battlefield

How Iran Is Turning the Global Economy Into a Battlefield

As the conflict with the United States and Israel intensifies, Iran’s new leadership is signalling a prolonged confrontation—one that combines conventional warfare with pressure on global energy flows and supply chains.

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

The US–Israel War on Iran: The Risks to India’s Strategic Hedging
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The US–Israel War on Iran: The Risks to India’s Strategic Hedging

Energy dependence, remittance flows and trade corridors reveal how deeply India’s economy is tied to stability in West Asia. Part II of a two-part series.

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

The US–Israel War on Iran: Energy, Power and Regional Disruption
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The US–Israel War on Iran: Energy, Power and Regional Disruption

Energy chokepoints, proxy escalation and great-power recalibration are reshaping the Gulf and unsettling the global order. Part I of a two-part series.

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Tariffs Are the Noise. Realignment Is the Signal
·Global Trade and Geoeconomics

Tariffs Are the Noise. Realignment Is the Signal

Even if Trump’s tariffs disappear, the forces reshaping global trade—geopolitics, security concerns and reconfigured regional blocs—are here to stay

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

America’s Iran Trap Is Closing
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

America’s Iran Trap Is Closing

Carrier strike groups, nuclear deadlines and a brittle regime in Tehran are converging on a moment where Washington may discover that every move—strike, sabotage or restraint—ends in escalation

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Iran at the Brink: Five Scenarios That Could Reshape the Region
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Iran at the Brink: Five Scenarios That Could Reshape the Region

Economic collapse, political revolt and great-power rivalry converge in Iran’s most dangerous moment in decades.

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

A World Without Endgames
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

A World Without Endgames

What prolonged global conflicts mean for Europe, China—and India’s narrowing strategic space.

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

The Year the World Learned to Live Without America
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The Year the World Learned to Live Without America

How Trump’s tariffs, Europe’s capitulation, China’s counter-moves and India’s narrowing room for manoeuvre reshaped the global order.

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Dinesh Narayanan

Dinesh Narayanan

Independent journalist | Author of The RSS and The Making of The Deep Nation

2025 in Review | Episode 4: Europe’s Year of Hard Choices
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

2025 in Review | Episode 4: Europe’s Year of Hard Choices

Europe entered 2025 already strained by war, fractured politics, and economic anxiety. As Philippe Le Corre explains, this was the year when three pressures collided—an unending war in Ukraine, a drastically altered transatlantic dynamic under Trump 2.0, and a more openly competitive China

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2025 in Review | Episode 3: America’s Year of Disruption
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

2025 in Review | Episode 3: America’s Year of Disruption

Justin Logan of the Cato Institute on how Trump’s second term reshaped global trade, defense alignments, and America’s domestic equilibrium—and why the turbulence may be far from over

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Who Will Win the MAGA Crown?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Who Will Win the MAGA Crown?

Three competing visions inside the MAGA movement—over AI, immigration and national sovereignty—may determine America’s technological doctrine for the next decade

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Sundeep Waslekar

Sundeep Waslekar

President | Strategic Foresight Group

2025 in Review | Episode 1: China and the Trumpian Reset
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

2025 in Review | Episode 1: China and the Trumpian Reset

How does China see the Trumpian reset of the global order? What's really happening inside its domestic economy? And are we seeing signs of a thaw with India? A conversation with Chinese economist Prof. Yao Yang

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From Gaza to Doha:How Israel’s Strike on Qatar Shook the Middle East
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

From Gaza to Doha:How Israel’s Strike on Qatar Shook the Middle East

Israel’s strike on Qatar has triggered a dangerous new phase in the Middle East — exposing Washington’s conflicting roles as ally and broker

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Trump's Tariff Gambit and the Global Trade Dilemma
·Global Trade and Geoeconomics

Trump's Tariff Gambit and the Global Trade Dilemma

In the Indo-Pacific, America’s transactionalism collides with its strategic incoherence—posing hard choices for its partners

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Trump’s hardball tactics to extract minerals & peace in Ukraine
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Trump’s hardball tactics to extract minerals & peace in Ukraine

Ukraine’s critical minerals deal with the US hangs on the edge of a precipice. Will it be a harbinger of peace with Russia? Or a deal too complex for even Trump to swing?

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Masterclass: The World in 2025 - Part 2
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2025 - Part 2

15 takeaways from Part 2 of the two-part Masterclass series with former foreign secretary Shyam Saran

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Founding Fuel

Masterclass: The World in 2025 - Part 1
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2025 - Part 1

17 takeaways on the new dynamics in geopolitics and geoeconomics, especially after Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president, the shifting sands in the Middle East with conflict and informal fragile truce, and the big decadal shifts

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Founding Fuel

Founding Fuel

Briefing #4 | The view from New Delhi: Choices and dilemmas
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Briefing #4 | The view from New Delhi: Choices and dilemmas

The defining challenges for India as it tries to balance demands from the US administration, and its own Asian backyard, which is increasingly coming under the dragon’s shadow

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Dinesh Narayanan

Dinesh Narayanan

Independent journalist | Author of The RSS and The Making of The Deep Nation

Briefing #1 | US-China relationship: It’s complicated
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Briefing #1 | US-China relationship: It’s complicated

Even as Trump signed a flurry of executive orders, the tensely awaited tariff orders were conspicuous by their absence

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Dinesh Narayanan

Dinesh Narayanan

Independent journalist | Author of The RSS and The Making of The Deep Nation

The Global Politics of AI
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The Global Politics of AI

The big powers are escalating the AI race, but some scientists fear that the technology will spin out of human control

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Sundeep Waslekar

Sundeep Waslekar

President | Strategic Foresight Group

The global trends to watch in 2025
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The global trends to watch in 2025

Insights from The Economist’s report ‘The World Ahead 2025’

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D Shivakumar

D Shivakumar

Operating Partner | Advent International

Briefing 3: The US - Europe - Russia - China - India dynamic
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Briefing 3: The US - Europe - Russia - China - India dynamic

Security and economic realism determine much of today’s trade. The third and final in a three-part series to set context for the Masterclass on Geopolitics and Global Trade

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Briefing 2: India and the Indo-Pacific
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Briefing 2: India and the Indo-Pacific

Geopolitics, geo-economics and India’s positioning in the region. The second in a three-part series to set context for the Masterclass on Geopolitics and Global Trade

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Fire in the ’hood
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Fire in the ’hood

With Bangladesh wobbly, India is now surrounded by unstable states with restive populations and fidgety militaries

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Dinesh Narayanan

Dinesh Narayanan

Independent journalist | Author of The RSS and The Making of The Deep Nation

The shape of the world in the next five years
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The shape of the world in the next five years

Fires of war are burning in several parts of the world. And the US-China hegemonic rivalry is now real. But even amidst the uncertainty there are clear signals about how geo-economics and geopolitics could shape up. Part 1 in this 3-part series dives into the paradoxes that will shape supply chains and geo-economics

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

The multi-layered alliances shaping geopolitics
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The multi-layered alliances shaping geopolitics

Two clear blocs are emerging, one led by the US, the other by China. However, it’s not another Cold War. Part 2 in a 3-part series on the shape of the world in the next 5 years

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

The future of hegemony: Asymmetric cooperation
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The future of hegemony: Asymmetric cooperation

In a complexly layered world, neither the US nor China will be an absolute hegemon. The final in a 3-part series on the shape of the world in the next 5 years

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

A dangerous tit-for-tat game is afoot in the Middle East
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

A dangerous tit-for-tat game is afoot in the Middle East

The US, China and Russia are entangled in a complex way. And the rising tensions in the region are already disrupting shipping and the oil trade

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Masterclass: The World in 2024
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2024

A stellar panel unpacks the primary drivers of complex change facing the world: The implications of elections in more than half the democratic world; the US-China rivalry and the economic disruptions of their mutual de-risking; assessing Global South as a tangible international entity; and more

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Is India too late to the Global South party?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is India too late to the Global South party?

China may have already stolen a march with its massive financing, infra investments and deals to access natural resources and stranglehold on markets across the developing world. Yet India may still have some aces up its sleeve. The sixth and final column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

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Pramit Pal Chaudhuri

Pramit Pal Chaudhuri

South Asia head | Eurasia Group

Is Africa swapping out Europe for China?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is Africa swapping out Europe for China?

The political economy calculus in Africa is changing. Any China-EU rivalry in Africa will only benefit the continent. The fifth column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

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Vivek Y. Kelkar

Vivek Y. Kelkar

Researcher, Analyst & Columnist on Geo-economics, Geopolitics and Sustainability

Is the US in strategic retreat in the Indian Ocean region?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is the US in strategic retreat in the Indian Ocean region?

And does China have the capability to increasingly dominate this space? The fourth column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

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Kanti Prasad Bajpai

Kanti Prasad Bajpai

Visiting Professor, Ashoka University | Emeritus Professor, Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore

Does the current US-China detente signal a thawing of relations?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Does the current US-China detente signal a thawing of relations?

Neither of them wants an economic MAD (mutually assured destruction), and this is a tactical pause. This is the third column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

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G Venkat Raman

G Venkat Raman

Professor, Humanities and Social Sciences | Indian Institute of Management, Indore

Caught in existential dilemmas, how is Europe’s political thinking shaping up?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Caught in existential dilemmas, how is Europe’s political thinking shaping up?

Europe is caught between the left and right, antisemitism and Islamophobia, accepting asylum seekers and pushing back boats. The time for a delicate balancing act may be over. This is the second column in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

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Sir Graham Watson

Sir Graham Watson

Distinguished Visiting Fellow | University of Toronto - Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy

Is the world increasingly becoming a dangerous place to live?
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Is the world increasingly becoming a dangerous place to live?

The existential threat to human civilization is not from wars, but from nuclear disaster and climate change. This is the first in our Year End Special series on making sense of the biggest economic and geopolitical shifts and what they signal

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Sundeep Waslekar

Sundeep Waslekar

President | Strategic Foresight Group

The practice of Chinese foreign policy
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

The practice of Chinese foreign policy

Book Review: ‘After Tiananmen: The Rise of China’ by Vijay Gokhale

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Jabin T. Jacob

Jabin T. Jacob

Associate Professor, Department of International Relations and Governance Studies | Shiv Nadar University

Masterclass: The World in 2023
·Strategic Affairs & Geopolitics

Masterclass: The World in 2023

A top-class panel of experts decodes the world of opportunity and risk on multiple fronts

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